All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez

As in the moments following the 2016 US election, win probabilities took center stage in public discourse after New England’s comeback victory in the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Unfortunately, n…

All Models Are Wrong - Alteryx Community

All Models Are Wrong

NFL fourth-down conversions, explained: Why teams go for it (and succeed) more than ever in 2020

All models are wrong, but some are useful”. George E. P. Box – AdMoRe ITN

What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press

All Models Are Wrong - Alteryx Community

Being an MLB Super-Team Doesn't Guarantee Anything Come October, News, Scores, Highlights, Stats, and Rumors

All Models Are Wrong - Alteryx Community

PDF) What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League

Building a Basic, In-Game Win Probability Model for the NFL, by Stephen Hill

Being an MLB Super-Team Doesn't Guarantee Anything Come October, News, Scores, Highlights, Stats, and Rumors

Properties of Probability Models, Part 1

All models are wrong, but some are useful - The Correspondent